Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 17.278097 19.607978 22.145298 25.115266 28.498497 32.235039 36.678354
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 14.028722 17.084011 20.658451 25.154984 30.669720 37.224733 45.626105
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 11.171945 14.490950 18.631340 24.189042 31.475922 40.735014 53.442335
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.998731 12.377966 16.853511 23.237701 32.150710 44.212370 61.876004
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.529011 10.947621 15.739447 22.981926 33.718096 49.151097 73.209573
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.464101 9.907712 15.001879 23.138537 35.913389 55.374125 87.598937
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.535780 8.917593 14.181924 23.043093 37.737944 61.400174 102.919592
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.947595 8.359841 13.938288 23.815642 41.086797 70.436627 124.930264
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.334978 7.661203 13.355954 23.933578 43.382336 78.170747 146.345677
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.700493 6.820559 12.398509 23.236107 44.129797 83.358892 164.280115
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.224713 6.187114 11.707010 22.905308 45.501863 89.960330 186.338729
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.941702 5.869511 11.550026 23.572482 48.943826 101.216173 220.237457
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.707736 5.621376 11.511155 24.525448 53.275222 115.369290 264.069723
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.431018 5.240330 11.144742 24.737877 56.106600 126.986659 305.157187
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.107663 4.706062 10.370182 23.922876 56.511840 133.358288 335.608617
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.831264 4.229236 9.642845 23.086122 56.721146 139.375505 366.831412
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.639108 3.913087 9.226849 22.914560 58.532499 149.714377 412.016053
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.495571 3.688070 8.987306 23.137425 61.408822 163.416938 470.025295
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.354796 3.446040 8.666440 23.095323 63.597254 175.830049 527.787980
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.272786 3.339334 8.667670 23.913959 68.339994 196.369617 615.471331
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.168613 3.156828 8.441969 24.068089 71.241942 212.347363 693.523388
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.042650 2.894149 7.957822 23.394322 71.566403 220.779974 749.555446
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.945742 2.696053 7.618500 23.083112 72.946053 232.819672 821.371945